{"id":94274,"date":"2025-12-22T04:23:19","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T04:23:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/omdertimes.com\/?p=94274"},"modified":"2025-12-22T04:23:19","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T04:23:19","slug":"%d8%aa%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%8a%d8%ae%d9%8a%d9%8b%d8%a7-%d8%aa%d9%85-%d8%a5%d9%84%d8%ba%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%81%d8%a7%d9%82%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%af%d9%81%d8%a7%d8%b9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/omdertimes.com\/?p=94274","title":{"rendered":"\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u062a\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u0631 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0627\u0645 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\u0646\u062d\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0644\u0643 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641\u064b\u0627 \u062c\u0627\u0647\u0632\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u201c\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u201d.<br \/>\n\u2022 \u0646\u062d\u0646 \u0646\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0633\u0644\u0637\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641.<br \/>\n\u2022 \u0646\u062d\u0646 \u0646\u0644\u0648\u0651\u062d \u0628\u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0634\u0639\u0631\u0646\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0631.<br \/>\n\u2022 \u0646\u062d\u0646 \u0646\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a.<br \/>\n\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062d\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0628 \u0648\u0634\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0630 1995 \u064a\u0636\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0624\u0627\u0644 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631: \u0647\u0644 \u201c\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a\u201d \u0645\u0628\u062f\u0623\u060c \u0623\u0645 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629\u061f<br \/>\nEgypt\u2019s Presidency published today a six-point statement on the occasion of Field Marshal Abdel Fattah al-Burhan\u2019s visit to Cairo.<br \/>\nThe statement wears a humanitarian face, but at its core it is a political deterrence document. It defines what Cairo wants from Sudan, what it rejects, and what it threatens to do if realities move against its preferences.<br \/>\nWhat follows is a precise deconstruction of why the statement was written this way, and what it means for Sudanese people.<br \/>\n1) Why does the statement begin with Trump?<br \/>\nWhen Cairo opens a Sudan-related statement by endorsing \u201cthe vision of U.S. President Donald Trump,\u201d it is not polishing rhetoric. It is doing one thing: placing its position under an American umbrella, because that delivers three immediate benefits:<br \/>\n \u2022 It signals to Washington that Egypt is operating within a framework the United States accepts, not against it.<br \/>\n \u2022 It links Egypt\u2019s stance to the \u201cQuartet\u201d track led by Washington together with Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Egypt, a track publicly presented as a roadmap: a humanitarian truce, then a ceasefire, then a political transition.<br \/>\n \u2022 It raises the cost of any regional pushback, because Cairo is implicitly saying it has \u201ccover from major partners,\u201d namely the Trump administration and the Quartet.<br \/>\n2) Why does the statement focus on El Fasher?<br \/>\nThe statement refers to \u201chorrific massacres\u2026 especially in El Fasher.\u201d This is not merely sympathy. It is a marketing key for the position.<br \/>\nBy choosing \u201cEl Fasher\u201d as the headline, Cairo places itself in the posture of \u201cprotecting civilians.\u201d That reduces the sensitivity of the \u201cred lines\u201d language, and makes any rejection of those red lines look like a rejection of civilian protection, rather than a rejection of political interference.<br \/>\n3) What are the \u201cred lines\u201d in reality?<br \/>\nThe statement sets out three red lines:<br \/>\n 1. Sudan\u2019s unity and territorial integrity, and rejecting secession.<br \/>\n 2. Rejecting any \u201cparallel entities\u201d or recognition of them.<br \/>\n 3. Preserving \u201cSudan\u2019s state institutions\u201d and preventing any harm to them.<br \/>\nThese are not red lines in a neutral sense. They are an Egyptian definition of what Sudan\u2019s \u201cacceptable state form\u201d should look like, according to Cairo\u2019s interests:<br \/>\n \u2022 \u201cUnity\u201d here means one state that can be dealt with in border-security and strategic terms, not multiple bargaining authorities that shift and trade power.<br \/>\n \u2022 \u201cRejecting parallel entities\u201d aims to block any political recognition of alternative authorities inside Sudan, such as a Tasis government, because recognition creates a new international reality that becomes difficult to reverse.<br \/>\n \u2022 \u201cState institutions\u201d in wartime effectively means the army. This resembles the scenario in which the Egyptian military hijacked Egypt\u2019s revolution, detained an elected president, and carried out a coup. In other words, Cairo is saying that keeping this military structure in Sudan is a condition for \u201cstability,\u201d and a condition for Egypt\u2019s interests.<br \/>\n4) The threat of a \u201cjoint defense agreement\u201d<br \/>\nThe statement hints that Egypt has the right to take \u201call necessary measures and actions\u201d under international law and \u201cthe joint defense agreement between the two countries.\u201d<br \/>\nHere we must separate \u201claw\u201d from \u201cmessage\u201d:<br \/>\n \u2022 Historically, the joint defense agreement between Egypt and Sudan was annulled by the late Prime Minister Imam Sadiq al-Mahdi, may he rest in peace.<br \/>\n \u2022 Joint defense agreements are activated when a state is attacked by a third party. Yet al-Burhan, an ally of President el-Sisi, has publicly claimed that the UAE is an aggressor state because of alleged interference in Sudan. If such a joint defense agreement were actually in force today, as the statement implies, would el-Sisi go to war with the UAE?<br \/>\n \u2022 The statement does not present a legal instrument. It is writing a deterrence formula. It wants to say that Cairo will not stop at declarations, and that it has a ready \u201cintervention language\u201d if it perceives a threat to its red lines.<br \/>\nThe irony is that this very language becomes politically vulnerable inside Sudan: it grants Cairo a claimed right to take \u201cmeasures\u201d on Sudanese soil, while the headline slogan in el-Sisi\u2019s rhetoric is \u201cSudanese sovereignty.\u201d<br \/>\n5) \u201cNo parallel entities\u201d is not a fixed principle, it is a moving interest<br \/>\nThroughout its modern history, Egypt has not been \u201cembarrassed\u201d by divided realities, whether in Libya, or in the reality of Hamas and the Palestinian Authority. This is because Cairo does not operate by one principle across all arenas. It operates by one question: who serves Egypt\u2019s national security now?<br \/>\nIn Sudan, a parallel entity means the possible emergence of a new authority and new corridors of influence that Cairo cannot control. That is why it raises the slogan of \u201crejecting parallel entities\u201d here, and elevates it into a red line.<br \/>\n6) Where does the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam stand in the statement?<br \/>\nThe statement does not mention the GERD. But it repeats Cairo\u2019s familiar line: \u201cEgypt\u2019s national security is directly linked to Sudan\u2019s national security.\u201d<br \/>\nThis linkage cannot be understood outside the Nile-water context and the coming water conflict:<br \/>\n \u2022 Egypt and Sudan have repeatedly framed \u201cwater security\u201d as a single national security issue, or, more accurately, Egypt has appropriated Sudan\u2019s voice in this framing, while both reject unilateral steps in the Nile file.<br \/>\n \u2022 The two countries have conducted joint military exercises such as \u201cGuardians of the Nile,\u201d widely treated as messages related to the GERD.<br \/>\n \u2022 The Quartet itself proposed a roadmap for Sudan, and Egypt is part of it, which means Cairo wants a Sudan disciplined in its regional alignments, or more plainly, loyal to Cairo, not a Sudan open to new arrangements that could reposition it in the river file.<br \/>\nThe statement avoids naming the GERD because doing so would open a direct diplomatic clash with Ethiopia in the same document. But it builds Sudan as part of Egypt\u2019s \u201csecurity belt,\u201d and that is the essence of the Nile file.<br \/>\n7) The biggest contradiction: \u201cSudan\u2019s territorial integrity\u201d while occupying Halaib and Shalateen since 1995<br \/>\nThis is where the crisis reaches its core.<br \/>\nThe statement treats \u201cSudan\u2019s unity and territorial integrity\u201d as a red line. Yet the reality is that the Halaib Triangle (Halaib and Shalateen) has remained under Egyptian control de facto since the mid-1990s, following major tensions after the 1995 assassination attempt on Hosni Mubarak in Addis Ababa. Reports speak of Egypt consolidating control since that period and rejecting referral to arbitration.<br \/>\nSudan has continued, across different years, to file or renew complaints to the United Nations over Halaib, reflecting that the dispute has not been legally closed from the Sudanese perspective.<br \/>\nThis makes \u201cSudan\u2019s territorial integrity\u201d in the Egyptian statement look selective to many Sudanese:<br \/>\n \u2022 Egypt demands that others do not tamper with Sudan\u2019s borders, while it occupies a part of Sudan\u2019s territory.<br \/>\n \u2022 Yet it keeps a Sudanese\u2013Egyptian border dispute open since 1995.<br \/>\nThis is not a minor historical detail. It is a credibility test. Sudan hears the speech, then asks: who defines \u201cthe borders\u201d in the first place, and who has the right to speak in the name of protecting them?<br \/>\n8) What does Egypt want from al-Burhan specifically?<br \/>\nThe statement does not say explicitly what Egypt wants from al-Burhan, but it draws a political job description for him:<br \/>\n \u2022 To remain the \u201caddress of legitimacy\u201d that Cairo deals with.<br \/>\n \u2022 To block any parallel governance arrangements.<br \/>\n \u2022 To ensure the continuity of state institutions as Cairo understands them.<br \/>\n \u2022 To coordinate humanitarian corridors \u201cwith Sudan\u2019s state institutions,\u201d meaning under the ceiling of the authority Cairo recognizes.<br \/>\nIn this sense, Egypt is not treating al-Burhan\u2019s visit as protocol. It is treating it as a step in building a political and security lever that serves Cairo\u2019s vision of Sudan and the region.<br \/>\nWhat should a Sudanese reader understand from this statement?<br \/>\nIn short, the statement tells Sudanese people:<br \/>\n \u2022 We have a ready-made definition of what \u201cthe correct Sudan\u201d should be.<br \/>\n \u2022 We reject any path that produces new authorities outside this definition.<br \/>\n \u2022 We are threatening measures that go beyond diplomacy if we feel endangered.<br \/>\n \u2022 We are writing this in the name of humanitarian concern and national security.<br \/>\nBut the fact that Halaib and Shalateen have been under Egyptian control since 1995 places the entire message under one big question: is \u201cterritorial integrity\u201d a principle, or a tool?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0628\u0634\u0631\u064a \u0646\u0634\u0631\u062a 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&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":94275,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-94274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-8"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u062a\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u0631 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 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